{"id":606,"date":"2015-05-08T07:02:32","date_gmt":"2015-05-08T06:02:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/?p=606"},"modified":"2015-05-08T07:03:14","modified_gmt":"2015-05-08T06:03:14","slug":"globalni-otepleni-mezi-velmocemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/globalni-otepleni-mezi-velmocemi\/","title":{"rendered":"Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplen\u00ed mezi velmocemi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ji\u0159\u00ed Payne\u00a015.5.2002<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Rusko budou op\u011bt sni\u017eovat po\u010dty jadern\u00fdch hlavic ze 7000 a 6000 kus\u016f na 1700 a\u017e 2200. \u0158\u00edk\u00e1 se, \u017ee t\u00edm kon\u010d\u00ed studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka.<\/p>\n

Historicky nev\u00eddan\u00e1 stabilita rovnov\u00e1hy dvou supervelmoc\u00ed za studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky spo\u010d\u00edvala na principu vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9ho odstra\u0161en\u00ed. Smlouva ABM o protibalistick\u00e9 obran\u011b fixovala vz\u00e1jemnou zranitelnost – v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfliktu by byly ob\u011b strany schopny se navz\u00e1jem zni\u010dit. Zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 \u0161kody na obou stran\u00e1ch by byly tak vysok\u00e9, \u017ee by se v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed stalo prohrou.<\/p>\n

Rusko americk\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed se zd\u00e1lo b\u00fdt doned\u00e1vna nezm\u011bniteln\u00fdm faktem. V t\u00e9to logice v\u011b\u010dn\u00e9ho st\u0159etu a p\u0159edstavy Ruska ohro\u017euj\u00edc\u00edho Evropu kdysi n\u00e1\u0161 president v USA prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee n\u00e1m Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nejl\u00e9pe pomohou, kdy\u017e pomohou Rusku. V r\u00e1mci stejn\u00e9 logiky se tak\u00e9 ned\u00e1vno postavil proti za\u0159azen\u00ed Ruska mezi kandid\u00e1tsk\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO.<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 unie v argumentaci proti zam\u00fd\u0161len\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 obran\u011b USA trvala na zachov\u00e1n\u00ed smlouvy ABM jako fundament\u00e1ln\u00edho dokumentu sv\u011btov\u00e9 stability se stejnou logikou, a\u010dkoli ABM je smlouva pouze mezi ob\u011bma velmocemi.<\/p>\n

Ukazuje se, \u017ee americk\u00e1 diplomacie je otev\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e kdo o\u010dek\u00e1val a \u017ee svou trp\u011blivost\u00ed z\u00edskala na svou stranu i Rusko. V n\u011bkter\u00fdch oblastech je dnes spolupr\u00e1ce USA-RF hlub\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se zem\u011bmi EU. Oba st\u00e1ty ch\u00e1pou, \u017ee odstra\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 fungovalo mezi st\u00e1ty, neodstra\u0161\u00ed \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 politiky \u010di teroristy.<\/p>\n

D\u016fvodem je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee americk\u00e1 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika vych\u00e1z\u00ed nam\u00edsto p\u0159edsudk\u016f z p\u0159esn\u00e9 specifikace n\u00e1rodn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f, co\u017e nijak nesouvis\u00ed s nacionalismem nebo vlastenectv\u00edm. Rusko pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry podobn\u00fd zp\u016fsob utv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky. Proto\u017ee existuj\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy, je mezi nimi mo\u017en\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce. Je nap\u0159\u00edklad pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee vzniknout navzdory fundamentalistick\u00e9mu odm\u00edtav\u00e9mu postoji EU protibalistick\u00e1 obrana, na kter\u00e9 se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b bude pod\u00edlet i Rusko. Bude-li nainstalov\u00e1na, ztr\u00e1c\u00ed jadern\u00e1 v\u00fdzbroj obou velmoc\u00ed do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry v\u00fdznam. Proto je mo\u017en\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017eit jejich po\u010det na minimum.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed za\u010dalo pou\u017e\u00edvat fr\u00e1ze jako nap\u0159. „h\u00e1j\u00edme n\u00e1rodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy“, ale doposud nep\u0159edlo\u017eilo dokument, kter\u00fd by nazna\u010dil jak\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy vlastn\u011b h\u00e1j\u00ed. Proto\u017ee neexistuje specifikace n\u00e1rodn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f, nem\u016f\u017ee o nich ani vzniknout konsensus politick\u00fdch stran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ji\u0159\u00ed Payne\u00a015.5.2002 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a Rusko budou op\u011bt sni\u017eovat po\u010dty jadern\u00fdch hlavic ze 7000 a 6000 kus\u016f na 1700 a\u017e 2200. \u0158\u00edk\u00e1 se, \u017ee t\u00edm kon\u010d\u00ed studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka. Historicky nev\u00eddan\u00e1… \u010c\u00edst v\u00edce ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9],"tags":[12,11,5],"class_list":["post-606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-clanky","category-zahrpol","tag-nato","tag-obrana","tag-zahrpol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=606"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/606\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":609,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/606\/revisions\/609"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}