{"id":2568,"date":"2023-02-04T14:26:31","date_gmt":"2023-02-04T13:26:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/?p=2568"},"modified":"2023-02-04T14:29:43","modified_gmt":"2023-02-04T13:29:43","slug":"koalice-prumernych-s-neschopnymi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/koalice-prumernych-s-neschopnymi\/","title":{"rendered":"Koalice pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch s neschopn\u00fdmi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

4.2.2023<\/span><\/p>\n

Povolebn\u00ed peripetie na pra\u017esk\u00e9 radnici se patrn\u011b ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci. Je v\u0161ak zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 \u010dist\u011b hypoteticky si polo\u017eit ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d k tak neobvykl\u00e9 situaci do\u0161lo?<\/p>\n

A\u010dkoliv ODS uji\u0161\u0165uje ve\u0159ejnost, \u017ee se zbavila sv\u00fdch kmotr\u016f, nen\u00ed to tak \u00fapln\u011b pravda. Podle stanov se sice v ODS konaj\u00ed prim\u00e1rn\u00ed volby k v\u00fdb\u011bru kandid\u00e1t\u016f do voleb, ale je ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00fdsledek prim\u00e1rek b\u00fdv\u00e1 zn\u00e1m d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e se konaj\u00ed. Je ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed deleg\u00e1ti dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed v pr\u016fb\u011bhu v\u00edcekolov\u00fdch voleb prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm SMS instrukce, jak maj\u00ed volit. Plat\u00ed pravidlo, \u017ee strana, kter\u00e1 nahrad\u00ed ve vnit\u0159n\u00edch procedur\u00e1ch f\u00e9rovou sout\u011b\u017e z\u00e1kulisn\u00edmi dohodami, ztrat\u00ed \u010destn\u00e9 a schopn\u00e9 \u010dleny a octne se v person\u00e1ln\u00ed krizi \u2013 nebude schopn\u00e1 dos\u00e1hnout v\u00fdrazn\u00e9ho \u00fasp\u011bchu a nebude schopn\u00e1 obsadit k\u0159esla ve vl\u00e1d\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b schopn\u00fdmi lidmi.  Jeden p\u0159\u00edtel to kdysi popsal: \u201eV ODS do\u0161lo k uzav\u0159en\u00ed koalice pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch s neschopn\u00fdmi. V\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee budou m\u00edt za v\u0161ech okolnost\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu a \u017ee si tak do v\u0161ech funkc\u00ed prosad\u00ed svoje lidi. Maj\u00ed jedin\u00e9 p\u0159ik\u00e1z\u00e1n\u00ed: nedopustit, aby se do jak\u00e9koli funkce dostal chytr\u00fd schopn\u00fd \u010dlov\u011bk – uk\u00e1zalo by se, jak jsou neschopn\u00ed.\u201c<\/em> Kdosi k tomu dodal: \u201e\u2026 a v\u0161eho schopn\u00fdmi.\u201c <\/em>Pro kmotry je to ide\u00e1ln\u00ed konstelace. <\/p>\n

ODS m\u011bla prvn\u00edch p\u00e1r rok\u016f jak\u017e tak\u017e funguj\u00edc\u00ed prim\u00e1rky, pak se jich zmocnili kmot\u0159i. Za t\u0159i desetilet\u00ed nem\u011bla ODS odvahu zm\u011bnit sv\u00e9 stanovy tak, aby garantovaly f\u00e9rovou sout\u011b\u017e. Kmot\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed ur\u010duj\u00ed, kdo bude kandid\u00e1tem, nezmizeli, maj\u00ed v ODS st\u00e1le vliv. F\u00e9rovou sout\u011b\u017e si nep\u0159ej\u00ed. Jin\u00fd m\u016fj p\u0159\u00edtel, kter\u00fd Petru Fialovi mezi \u010dty\u0159ma o\u010dima \u0159ekl: \u201eUv\u011bdomujete si, \u017ee jste p\u0159edsedou jen z dopu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed kmotr\u016f, \u017ee a\u017e V\u00e1s nebudou pot\u0159ebovat, sesad\u00ed v\u00e1s!\u201c<\/em> byl vylou\u010den z ODS o t\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e Klaus junior.<\/p>\n

Fialova vl\u00e1da je u moci rok. Kmot\u0159i v ODS nejsou spokojeni, jak\u00e9 zastoupen\u00ed ve vl\u00e1d\u011b dostali. Fiala jim mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u011bdom\u011b nedal ve vl\u00e1d\u011b prostor, snad s malou v\u00fdjimkou. Je to sice naprosto hypotetick\u00e9, ale troufnu si tvrdit, \u017ee tito kmot\u0159i vedou jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o sesazen\u00ed p\u0159edsedy vl\u00e1dy. A existuj\u00ed vlivn\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 ODS, kte\u0159\u00ed bytostn\u011b nesn\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed Pir\u00e1ty, a ti maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy odli\u0161n\u00e9 od st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed. Ti tak\u00e9 nejsou proti takov\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/p>\n

Podobn\u00e1 situace m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt mezi n\u011bkter\u00fdmi politiky Babi\u0161ova hnut\u00ed, tak\u00e9 jsou nespokojen\u00ed. Napevno po\u010d\u00edtali s v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi funkcemi a se v\u0161\u00edm (zjevn\u00fdm i neve\u0159ejn\u00fdm), co s nimi u n\u00e1s souvis\u00ed. A funkce se nedostavily. Jako d\u016fvod vid\u00ed osobu sv\u00e9ho p\u0159edsedy Andreje. Jeho osoba je d\u016fvodem k minim\u00e1ln\u00edmu koali\u010dn\u00edmu potenci\u00e1lu. Nad\u011bje, \u017ee by se to v budoucnu zlep\u0161ilo, je miziv\u00e1. A ze sond\u00e1\u017en\u00edch rozhovor\u016f maj\u00ed informaci, \u017ee kdyby do\u0161lo ke zm\u011bn\u011b na p\u0159edsednick\u00e9 funkci, otev\u0159ela by se cesta ke spolupr\u00e1ci.<\/p>\n

A do t\u0159etice i okruh p\u0159\u00e1tel Klause seniora m\u00e1 mo\u017en\u00e1 z\u00e1jem, aby Fiala nebyl p\u0159edsedou vl\u00e1dy. Op\u011bt je to jen hypot\u00e9za.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd je nulov\u00fd diskusn\u00ed odpor \u010dlen\u016f ODS proti kampani, kter\u00e1 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Fiala ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic pro lidi a \u017ee jeho vl\u00e1da je hrozn\u00e1, a kdy\u017e n\u011bco d\u011bl\u00e1, je to pozd\u011b. Fakta vypov\u00eddaj\u00ed o n\u011b\u010dem jin\u00e9m, za norm\u00e1ln\u00edch okolnost\u00ed by byla argumentace z \u0159ad \u010dlen\u016f ODS z\u0159eteln\u011b viditeln\u00e1. A v uplynul\u00e9m roce se z n\u011bjak\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f \u010dlenov\u00e9 ODS sv\u00e9ho p\u0159edsedy nezast\u00e1vaj\u00ed. Bu\u010f je to generace t\u011bch obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch, nebo k tomu maj\u00ed sv\u00e9 d\u016fvody.<\/p>\n

Jak by tedy potom nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da vypadala? Mo\u017enost\u00ed je v\u00edce. Jeden p\u0159\u00edklad za v\u0161echny: m\u00edsto p\u011btikoalice by mohla vzniknout koalice dvou stran se 72 mand\u00e1ty hnut\u00ed ANO a s 34 mand\u00e1ty ODS. Mo\u017en\u00e1 by zahrnovala je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkoho ze st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed koalice. Mo\u017en\u00e1 by to n\u011bkter\u00fdm kmotr\u016fm zv\u00fd\u0161ilo jejich vliv.<\/p>\n

Vra\u0165me se tedy k p\u016fvodn\u00ed ot\u00e1zce. \u010cist\u011b hypoteticky, co kdy\u017e peripetie na pra\u017esk\u00e9 radnici p\u0159edstavovaly taktiku odlo\u017eit proti v\u016fli Petra Fialy ustaven\u00ed nov\u00e9ho zastupitelstva do prezidentsk\u00e9 volby? P\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo se, \u017ee zv\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed Babi\u0161, tak\u017ee jeho hnut\u00ed by u\u017e nem\u011blo v \u010dele mor\u00e1ln\u011b pochybnou osobu. Peripetie z\u00e1rove\u0148 vyhrocuj\u00ed odpor proti st\u00e1le \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00edmu prim\u00e1torovi. Otev\u0159e se prostor pro dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o nov\u00e9m uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed a do n\u011bj nepochybn\u011b pat\u0159\u00ed i pra\u017esk\u00e1 radnice. Pro vyv\u00e1\u017een\u00ed zam\u00fd\u0161len\u00e9 koalice to m\u016f\u017ee hr\u00e1t roli. Je ve\u0159ejn\u011b zn\u00e1mou informac\u00ed, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed kmot\u0159i maj\u00ed z\u00e1jmy pr\u00e1v\u011b na rozhran\u00ed vl\u00e1dn\u00ed a pra\u017esk\u00e9 politiky. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo zn\u00e1 jm\u00e9na kmotr\u016f v ODS, m\u016f\u017ee sledovat jejich \u201apohyb\u2018 a m\u016f\u017ee si ud\u011blat sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor.<\/p>\n

Kdyby Babi\u0161 \u010dist\u011b teoreticky 8. \u00fanora ob\u011btoval funkci poslance i p\u0159edsedy hnut\u00ed, mohlo by to strhnout lavinu zm\u011bn na \u010desk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b. V\u00fdsledkem by mo\u017en\u00e1 byla kolice je\u0161t\u011b neschopn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch s je\u0161t\u011b pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi. A Babi\u0161 by mohl z Pr\u016fhonick\u00e9ho pohodl\u00ed ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch uplat\u0148ovat masivn\u00ed vliv na \u010deskou politiku. Ale je\u0161t\u011b jednou opakuji: je to jen takov\u00e1 hypot\u00e9za, \u010dist\u011b teoretick\u00e1 \u00favaha.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

4.2.2023 Povolebn\u00ed peripetie na pra\u017esk\u00e9 radnici se patrn\u011b ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke konci. Je v\u0161ak zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 \u010dist\u011b hypoteticky si polo\u017eit ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d k tak neobvykl\u00e9 situaci do\u0161lo? A\u010dkoliv ODS uji\u0161\u0165uje ve\u0159ejnost, \u017ee… \u010c\u00edst v\u00edce ><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-clanky"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2568","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2568"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2568\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2572,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2568\/revisions\/2572"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2568"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2568"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.payne.cz\/WP15\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2568"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}